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Google's Kurzweil says the machines will think for themselves by 2040, and oh — we'll be immortal
Google engineering director Ray Kurzweilis, undoubtedly, one of the most accomplished men of our time. The relentless inventor — whose credits include the flatbed scanner, optical character resolution and speech-to-text- systems — is also a bestselling author, a successful entrepreneur, and an artificial intelligence pioneer.
His current title at Google, then, always seemed a little puzzling to me — after all, wasn’t he the sort of guy to set his sights on something a little higher than juicing sales of online advertisements at the world's biggest Web search engine?
But the Google gig is much more than that, as I found out at a recent talk Kurzweil gave to group of tech luminaries. The event was connected to his being named as one of SVForum’s visionary award winners, an impressive group which includes Elon Musk and Bill Gates.
Kurzweil was light on specifics during the talk, in which he was interviewed by venture capitalist Steve Jurvetson of Draper Fisher Jurvetson. However, it was an interesting look at what Google’s long-term vision is — it’s not just a search company, in Kurzweil’s telling of it.
Rather, Google is trying to bring about technological singularity — creating a true artificial intelligence smart enough to improve its own source code. When that occurs, machines can progress to far-future, science fiction levels of intelligence within our lifetimes. (Kurzweil predicts this technological leap will happen by 2040.)
That might sound a little outside the remit of a Web search company, but to hear Kurzweil tell it, it’s really not. A massive amount of data on every conceivable topic, like Google has built up in its Internet index, is a “necessary, but not sufficient” step in building such an AI, he said.
The next piece is to create a system that can actually understand that data, which are often cluttered and always less organized than machine code, so that an artificial intelligence can begin to learn.
That’s something Kurzweil’s group is already working on, and if you have an Android phone, then you already have the beginnings of it in your pocket — the Google Now voice recognition system already incorporates some of the rudimentary tools that might later make true AI a possibility.
Kurzweil doesn’t see AI appearing in a vacuum, however. Rather, he thinks it will be connected directly to everyone’s brains. Neural interface technology, now in its infancy, will soon allow humans to connect their minds directly to the machine, augmenting their own natural intelligence in ways that seem like the providence of science fiction.
The example he gave: You’re at a party and someone says something to you and you try to come up with a witty comeback. Now, you’re not likely to be able to do it unless you’re particularly quick-witted — maybe only thinking of something to say hours later, to your great regret.
In the future, Kurzweil said, you’ll be able to query your connected artificial intelligence with a thought, and it will distill the perfect retort for you from the totality of linguistic info online in seconds. Thus he envisions an AI that isn’t so much a robot, but more a much, much smarter version of yourself.
Kurzweil is also involved in one of Google’s other side projects, Calico, which is about as far from the company's core search-revenue business model as possible. It's doing medical and genetic research with the goal of ending aging. It’s something Kurzweil thinks is possible to do through genetic re-engineering.
The example he gave here is mitochondria, a component of every living cell that metabolizes energy and is critical to life. Mitochondria started out as a kind of bacteria that were captured and consumed by living cells many, many eons ago, Kurzweil said. Consequently, they have their own genome separate from the rest of the body, stored in separate DNA from the cell’s nucleus.
Mitochondrial DNA is more prone to errors as the cell replicates itself, which can lead to a host of health problems. Kurzweil said that nature actually addressed this by moving much of the mitochondrial genetic code into the nucleus where it could be stored in less error-prone DNA.
But because of the way natural selection works, this process stopped before it moved some bits of the code which only come into use later in life, after a person would have normally reproduced. Kurzweil thinks humans can finish this process and solve some of the deleterious effects of aging.
So, according to Kurzweil, in the future humans will be unfathomably more smart and also functionally immortal. But he doesn’t think that humanity will change all that much, and he rejects the term “transhumanism,” which is currently in vogue to describe technologies like he is reportedly working on.
“I’ve never liked the label transhumanism, because it implies that we’re replacing humanity,” he said at the talk. “I don’t think that’s true. What we’re doing is augmenting human capability.”
Jon Xavier is the technology reporter at the Silicon Valley Business Journal.
Source: http://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2014/02/07/ray-kurzweil-google-will-invent-true.html?page=all
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Founded by Russian entrepreneur Dmitry Itskov in February 2011 with the participation of leading Russian specialists in the field of neural interfaces, robotics, artificial organs and systems.
The main goals of the 2045 Initiative: the creation and realization of a new strategy for the development of humanity which meets global civilization challenges; the creation of optimale conditions promoting the spiritual enlightenment of humanity; and the realization of a new futuristic reality based on 5 principles: high spirituality, high culture, high ethics, high science and high technologies.
The main science mega-project of the 2045 Initiative aims to create technologies enabling the transfer of a individual’s personality to a more advanced non-biological carrier, and extending life, including to the point of immortality. We devote particular attention to enabling the fullest possible dialogue between the world’s major spiritual traditions, science and society.
A large-scale transformation of humanity, comparable to some of the major spiritual and sci-tech revolutions in history, will require a new strategy. We believe this to be necessary to overcome existing crises, which threaten our planetary habitat and the continued existence of humanity as a species. With the 2045 Initiative, we hope to realize a new strategy for humanity's development, and in so doing, create a more productive, fulfilling, and satisfying future.
The "2045" team is working towards creating an international research center where leading scientists will be engaged in research and development in the fields of anthropomorphic robotics, living systems modeling and brain and consciousness modeling with the goal of transferring one’s individual consciousness to an artificial carrier and achieving cybernetic immortality.
An annual congress "The Global Future 2045" is organized by the Initiative to give platform for discussing mankind's evolutionary strategy based on technologies of cybernetic immortality as well as the possible impact of such technologies on global society, politics and economies of the future.
Future prospects of "2045" Initiative for society
2015-2020
The emergence and widespread use of affordable android "avatars" controlled by a "brain-computer" interface. Coupled with related technologies “avatars’ will give people a number of new features: ability to work in dangerous environments, perform rescue operations, travel in extreme situations etc.
Avatar components will be used in medicine for the rehabilitation of fully or partially disabled patients giving them prosthetic limbs or recover lost senses.
2020-2025
Creation of an autonomous life-support system for the human brain linked to a robot, ‘avatar’, will save people whose body is completely worn out or irreversibly damaged. Any patient with an intact brain will be able to return to a fully functioning bodily life. Such technologies will greatly enlarge the possibility of hybrid bio-electronic devices, thus creating a new IT revolution and will make all kinds of superimpositions of electronic and biological systems possible.
2030-2035
Creation of a computer model of the brain and human consciousness with the subsequent development of means to transfer individual consciousness onto an artificial carrier. This development will profoundly change the world, it will not only give everyone the possibility of cybernetic immortality but will also create a friendly artificial intelligence, expand human capabilities and provide opportunities for ordinary people to restore or modify their own brain multiple times. The final result at this stage can be a real revolution in the understanding of human nature that will completely change the human and technical prospects for humanity.
2045
This is the time when substance-independent minds will receive new bodies with capacities far exceeding those of ordinary humans. A new era for humanity will arrive! Changes will occur in all spheres of human activity – energy generation, transportation, politics, medicine, psychology, sciences, and so on.
Today it is hard to imagine a future when bodies consisting of nanorobots will become affordable and capable of taking any form. It is also hard to imagine body holograms featuring controlled matter. One thing is clear however: humanity, for the first time in its history, will make a fully managed evolutionary transition and eventually become a new species. Moreover, prerequisites for a large-scale expansion into outer space will be created as well.
Key elements of the project in the future
• International social movement
• social network immortal.me
• charitable foundation "Global Future 2045" (Foundation 2045)
• scientific research centre "Immortality"
• business incubator
• University of "Immortality"
• annual award for contribution to the realization of the project of "Immortality”.