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13.07.2015

The Strange Future of Hybrid Thinking, According to Google’s Director of Engineering

Ray Kurzweil is a fascinating man. He's an author, a computer scientist, an inventor, and he's currently serving as a Director of Engineering at Google. That's a big position for anyone to fill, seeing that Google has been on the forefront of developing new technologies since 1999. The tangible achievements and developments led by Kurzweil, such as the voice-recognition technology responsible for enabling Google Now to process your spoken requests, are impressive and innumerable, but it's Kurzweil's futurist predictions that have heads truly spinning.

Kurzweil has published multiple bestsellers, including The Age of Spiritual Machines and the somewhat terrifyingly titled The Singularity Is Near, all focused on some aspect of the future development of the relationship between humans and machines. In a general context, the technological singularity (which Kurzweil refers to often in his work) is the moment at which machines become more advanced thinkers than humans, creating some level of unpredictability or chaos in the world. But this assumes that humans and machines remain separate, almost competing entities. According to one of Kurzweil's latest assertions, humans and machines may become indistinguishable from one another, in a relationship he calls hybrid thinking.

How Hybrid Thinking Works

First, Kurzweil stresses the importance of how the mind currently operates. His book, How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed, explains the brain as a functional unit composed of different modules, each of which can perform some function with a pattern. Modules can learn patterns from observation or repetition, remember those patterns, and then respond to those patterns accordingly. Groups of modules are then lumped together in what Kurzweil describes as "hierarchies," with simpler processes--such as recognizing a piece of pizza in front of you--at the bottom and more sophisticated processes--such as determining whether your boss is being sarcastic--at the top. More sophisticated processes require higher hierarchies and more groups of interrelated modules because they deal with more variables.

While this model of the brain has come under scientific scrutiny, if it is the way the brain operates, it's really no different than a machine--it's just exponentially more complicated. Think about the process of computer programming. Developers rely on individual processes, and in this case you can call them modules, which can execute specific actions based on a given input. When working together, complex modules can form interpretations about various pieces of data--forming a kind of artificial intelligence. Theoretically, it would only be a matter of time before our top computer scientists can produce a hierarchy of modules similar enough to the human brain to mimic that level of thinking. Already, we have machines capable of complex language recognition and interpretation--just think about Google's "Hummingbird" semantic search update or the Jeopardy! champion-beating Watson.

Kurzweil estimates that search engines will begin to evolve even further. Rather than interpreting your search query and trying to find what it has already indexed that matches your intention, as it does today, a search engine could become an active participant in your life. For example, you could search for a taco restaurant one week, and if a new taco restaurant opens, the search engine could flag the press release for it and actively recommend it to you, giving you a summary of the menu and explaining why it might fit your interests. Under this model, search engines--and computers in general--would become artificial brains.

In another generation, scientists could perfect nanobots, which are essentially tiny machines that execute specific functions. These nanobots would theoretically enter your bloodstream, navigate the modules of your own organic brain, and connect your human brain to the artificial one. You wouldn't need a web browser to find online information, nor would you need a mobile device. You would be able to think your way to the cloud and retrieve any information you wanted. Search engines would cease to exist because our active brains would be functional search engines.

This is the model of hybrid thinking that Kurzweil proposes: a future where the lines between human intelligence and artificial intelligence ceases to have meaning. It's creepy to think that one day we would be incapable of distinguishing between our own conclusions and the conclusions of a connected algorithm, but it certainly seems plausible.

When Could Hybrid Thinking Enter Mainstream Society?

After reading this description, you may be under the impression that this futuristic development is hundreds of years away. It seems like something out of a movie, and a particularly inventive movie at that, so it's hard to imagine it developing within our own lifetimes. But Kurzweil is suggesting just that. Recently, he suggested that his "hybrid thinking" model might be as little as 30 years away. Others agree.

If that still seems far-fetched to you, consider the fact that this man predicted, in the 1990s, that by 2009 we'd all be using mobile computers, and that there would be wearable eyeglasses capable of projecting a computer-like interface. He also thought that self-driving cars would be a reality by 2009--but even then, he was only off by a few years.

Whether or not Kurzweil's model of the brain or suggestions about the future of human/technology interfaces are entirely accurate is debatable. What's not debatable is that our world is changing faster than most of us can adequately understand. It's a strange, exciting time to be a technology user, and it's only going to get more interesting from here.

Source: http://www.inc.com/jayson-demers/the-strange-future-of-hybrid-thinking-according-to-google-s-director-of-engineer.html?cid=sf01002




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Founded by Russian entrepreneur Dmitry Itskov in February 2011 with the participation of leading Russian specialists in the field of neural interfaces, robotics, artificial organs and systems.

The main goals of the 2045 Initiative: the creation and realization of a new strategy for the development of humanity which meets global civilization challenges; the creation of optimale conditions promoting the spiritual enlightenment of humanity; and the realization of a new futuristic reality based on 5 principles: high spirituality, high culture, high ethics, high science and high technologies. 

The main science mega-project of the 2045 Initiative aims to create technologies enabling the transfer of a individual’s personality to a more advanced non-biological carrier, and extending life, including to the point of immortality. We devote particular attention to enabling the fullest possible dialogue between the world’s major spiritual traditions, science and society.

A large-scale transformation of humanity, comparable to some of the major spiritual and sci-tech revolutions in history, will require a new strategy. We believe this to be necessary to overcome existing crises, which threaten our planetary habitat and the continued existence of humanity as a species. With the 2045 Initiative, we hope to realize a new strategy for humanity's development, and in so doing, create a more productive, fulfilling, and satisfying future.

The "2045" team is working towards creating an international research center where leading scientists will be engaged in research and development in the fields of anthropomorphic robotics, living systems modeling and brain and consciousness modeling with the goal of transferring one’s individual consciousness to an artificial carrier and achieving cybernetic immortality.

An annual congress "The Global Future 2045" is organized by the Initiative to give platform for discussing mankind's evolutionary strategy based on technologies of cybernetic immortality as well as the possible impact of such technologies on global society, politics and economies of the future.

 

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2015-2020

The emergence and widespread use of affordable android "avatars" controlled by a "brain-computer" interface. Coupled with related technologies “avatars’ will give people a number of new features: ability to work in dangerous environments, perform rescue operations, travel in extreme situations etc.
Avatar components will be used in medicine for the rehabilitation of fully or partially disabled patients giving them prosthetic limbs or recover lost senses.

2020-2025

Creation of an autonomous life-support system for the human brain linked to a robot, ‘avatar’, will save people whose body is completely worn out or irreversibly damaged. Any patient with an intact brain will be able to return to a fully functioning  bodily life. Such technologies will  greatly enlarge  the possibility of hybrid bio-electronic devices, thus creating a new IT revolution and will make  all  kinds of superimpositions of electronic and biological systems possible.

2030-2035

Creation of a computer model of the brain and human consciousness  with the subsequent development of means to transfer individual consciousness  onto an artificial carrier. This development will profoundly change the world, it will not only give everyone the possibility of  cybernetic immortality but will also create a friendly artificial intelligence,  expand human capabilities  and provide opportunities for ordinary people to restore or modify their own brain multiple times.  The final result  at this stage can be a real revolution in the understanding of human nature that will completely change the human and technical prospects for humanity.

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This is the time when substance-independent minds will receive new bodies with capacities far exceeding those of ordinary humans. A new era for humanity will arrive!  Changes will occur in all spheres of human activity – energy generation, transportation, politics, medicine, psychology, sciences, and so on.

Today it is hard to imagine a future when bodies consisting of nanorobots  will become affordable  and capable of taking any form. It is also hard to imagine body holograms featuring controlled matter. One thing is clear however:  humanity, for the first time in its history, will make a fully managed evolutionary transition and eventually become a new species. Moreover,  prerequisites for a large-scale  expansion into outer space will be created as well.

 

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