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11.09.2015

The singularity is closer than we think

A tipping point in the evolution of Artificial Intelligent is closer than we think. Jez Jowett, global head of creative technology at Havas Media, assesses the landscape and calls for greater debate to ensure a balance between the opportunities and perceived threat.

Back in May, I was walking down Regent Street in London when I came across a pop-up shop window display promoting the sale of ‘synthetic humans’. Two-metre high robots had been placed behind the glass and were mimicking and reacting to the movements of passers-by.

The stunt, by Channel 4 was promoting the drama ‘Humans’, which ended earlier this month and highlighted the issues around what would happen if robots developed a level of consciousness that resulted in a heightened instinct to survive in our human world.

The premise of the series was no different to Ridley Scott’s Blade Runner in the early Eighties or I Robot, starring Will Smith in 2004. What’s changed in 2015 however, is that automated intelligence has now arrived and the singularity – the point at which Artificial Intelligence (AI) can match, and then overtake human smarts – will occur, for sure, within the next twenty-year period that separates these two films.

In other words, in the time it has taken us to go from Harrison Ford hunting Tyrell Corporation replicants that are ‘more human than human’ to Will Smith’s efforts to stop a robot revolution, science-fiction will morph further into our reality and super intelligent robots will walk among us, impacting how we interact with each other as well as with brands.

Understanding our intentions

AI has already infiltrated our lives much more than, perhaps we realise. We plan trips using GPS systems that rely on AI to cut through the complexity of millions of routes to find the best one to take. Our smartphones understand our speech, and Siri, Cortana, and Google Now are getting better at understanding our intentions.

Brands that have begun experimenting with AI include car manufacturers such as BMW, who launched its first electric car with iGenius – technology that was able to answer customers’ questions about the new vehicle via text. Not only was iGenius able to have hundreds of conversations at the same time, it could also memorise previous questions from each person to generate answers that were meaningful.

Facebook and Google are both building neural networks that can recognise the spoken word, target ads and learn how to recognise key features in digital images such as cars, landmarks and the ageing process in people’s faces. In media agencies, meanwhile, the programmatic buying and serving of ads is driving real-time campaign decisions at speeds impossible for the human brain to replicate.

The human race has experienced singularities before. The past two – the agricultural and industrial revolutions – resulted in huge growth in the British GDP. During the industrial revolution, the economy doubled from 1.5% in the 1750s to 3% by the 1840s.

Once machines become as smart as man, the economy will grow a lot faster than every one hundred years however. Problems will only arise with AI if meaningfulness is forsaken in favour of this increased productivity.

Personal and collective wellbeing

I don’t believe the robots will rise up against us, just yet. But I do believe that without a proper narrative around how AI could and should add meaningfulness to our personal and collective wellbeing, there’s a real danger that we’re hurtling towards a future that no longer takes people or our relationships with brands into account.

Take self-driving cars as an example. In a driverless world, we could become passive and disengaged, reducing car brands to mere tools for mobility. Where would this leave car advertising and would autonomous cars significantly improve our lives? Possibly for the elderly and disabled but what about for those of us who enjoy the brand association of a marque, plus the freedom and enjoyment of being behind the wheel?

If the singularity is closer than we think, we need greater debate and transparency about what’s really going on

Are we really developing intelligent driverless vehicles to make our roads safer and less congested, or is it to pave the way for greater in-car connectivity so we can travel around inside entertainment hubs on wheels, without the distraction of having to keep our eyes on the road, immersed in branded worlds?

If we admit that it’s a combination of both these future realities, then how do we reconcile branded infotainment with the loss of lorry-driver jobs, the ethical algorithms needed for driverless decision-making and the security issues that car-to-car communication will present? Only recently, Fiat Chrysler had to recall 1.4 million cars after the Internet-connected entertainment and navigation system of a Jeep Cherokee was hacked.

Wouldn’t we be better off focusing AI and machine learning progression on improving areas of collective society that really need it, such as medicine and science? AI is already at work in hospitals helping physicians understand which patients are at highest risk for complications, and AI algorithms are helping to find important grains in massive data sand-dunes.

Need for a proper debate

The answers to all these questions around the future of AI need proper debate. Media and brands need to have their say alongside the technology, scientific and ethical communities.

Without factoring in meaningful connections to its future progress, AI runs the risk of, at best seeing us withdraw from physical experiences and at worst, causing society to destabilise due to synthetic robots taking over roles that should be filled by humans.

If the singularity is closer than we think, we need greater debate and transparency about what’s really going on, who is leading the charge and how it will effect our experiences as consumers in the future.

What started with spellcheck and auto correct, has the potential to auto-correct our human actions. In the case of driverless cars, it may save lives and eradicate mistakes behind the wheel but in other areas of our lives, it’s our mistakes that allow us to grow and evolve.

If AI one day takes away our freedom to make mistakes, we’ll loose the capacity to learn and improve. That’s what makes us who we are. Without it, we’ll all become synthetic humans, eating silicon sushi, programming our perfect lives via the chip in our wrists and taking orders from the robots who have taken over our jobs and household chores. Orwell would turn in his grave.

 

Source: http://mandmglobal.com/the-singularity-is-closer-than-we-think/




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Founded by Russian entrepreneur Dmitry Itskov in February 2011 with the participation of leading Russian specialists in the field of neural interfaces, robotics, artificial organs and systems.

The main goals of the 2045 Initiative: the creation and realization of a new strategy for the development of humanity which meets global civilization challenges; the creation of optimale conditions promoting the spiritual enlightenment of humanity; and the realization of a new futuristic reality based on 5 principles: high spirituality, high culture, high ethics, high science and high technologies. 

The main science mega-project of the 2045 Initiative aims to create technologies enabling the transfer of a individual’s personality to a more advanced non-biological carrier, and extending life, including to the point of immortality. We devote particular attention to enabling the fullest possible dialogue between the world’s major spiritual traditions, science and society.

A large-scale transformation of humanity, comparable to some of the major spiritual and sci-tech revolutions in history, will require a new strategy. We believe this to be necessary to overcome existing crises, which threaten our planetary habitat and the continued existence of humanity as a species. With the 2045 Initiative, we hope to realize a new strategy for humanity's development, and in so doing, create a more productive, fulfilling, and satisfying future.

The "2045" team is working towards creating an international research center where leading scientists will be engaged in research and development in the fields of anthropomorphic robotics, living systems modeling and brain and consciousness modeling with the goal of transferring one’s individual consciousness to an artificial carrier and achieving cybernetic immortality.

An annual congress "The Global Future 2045" is organized by the Initiative to give platform for discussing mankind's evolutionary strategy based on technologies of cybernetic immortality as well as the possible impact of such technologies on global society, politics and economies of the future.

 

Future prospects of "2045" Initiative for society

2015-2020

The emergence and widespread use of affordable android "avatars" controlled by a "brain-computer" interface. Coupled with related technologies “avatars’ will give people a number of new features: ability to work in dangerous environments, perform rescue operations, travel in extreme situations etc.
Avatar components will be used in medicine for the rehabilitation of fully or partially disabled patients giving them prosthetic limbs or recover lost senses.

2020-2025

Creation of an autonomous life-support system for the human brain linked to a robot, ‘avatar’, will save people whose body is completely worn out or irreversibly damaged. Any patient with an intact brain will be able to return to a fully functioning  bodily life. Such technologies will  greatly enlarge  the possibility of hybrid bio-electronic devices, thus creating a new IT revolution and will make  all  kinds of superimpositions of electronic and biological systems possible.

2030-2035

Creation of a computer model of the brain and human consciousness  with the subsequent development of means to transfer individual consciousness  onto an artificial carrier. This development will profoundly change the world, it will not only give everyone the possibility of  cybernetic immortality but will also create a friendly artificial intelligence,  expand human capabilities  and provide opportunities for ordinary people to restore or modify their own brain multiple times.  The final result  at this stage can be a real revolution in the understanding of human nature that will completely change the human and technical prospects for humanity.

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This is the time when substance-independent minds will receive new bodies with capacities far exceeding those of ordinary humans. A new era for humanity will arrive!  Changes will occur in all spheres of human activity – energy generation, transportation, politics, medicine, psychology, sciences, and so on.

Today it is hard to imagine a future when bodies consisting of nanorobots  will become affordable  and capable of taking any form. It is also hard to imagine body holograms featuring controlled matter. One thing is clear however:  humanity, for the first time in its history, will make a fully managed evolutionary transition and eventually become a new species. Moreover,  prerequisites for a large-scale  expansion into outer space will be created as well.

 

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